NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 05, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 9 | 36 | 75.0% | 1 | 30.9 | 1 |
| 2 | Matt Hogel | 8 | 36 | 66.7% | 2 | 29.8 | 2 |
| 3 | Nick Boucher | 7 | 36 | 58.3% | 3 | 25.4 | 7 |
| 3 | Mike Thorne | 7 | 36 | 58.3% | 3 | 27.6 | 5 |
| 3 | Dan Ellenberger | 7 | 36 | 58.3% | 3 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 7 | 36 | 58.3% | 3 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 7 | Andrew Batchelor | 6 | 36 | 50.0% | 7 | 25.9 | 6 |
| 7 | Andrew Moeller | 6 | 36 | 50.0% | 7 | 23.4 | 8 |
| 9 | Karl Loiseau | 3 | 36 | 25.0% | 9 | 21.8 | 9 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 3 | 36 | 25.0% | 9 | 21.2 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 8.7 | GB | 0.39 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 10.7 | NYG | 0.73 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 11.5 | MIA | 0.81 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 9.6 | PHI | 0.62 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 10.8 | @SEA | 0.59 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 9.4 | @ARI | 0.31 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 11.9 | SF | 0.69 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 8.4 | @JAX | 0.64 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1 | 7.7 | DET | 0.75 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 10.6 | @LAC | 0.45 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 9.8 | @PIT | 0.46 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 7.6 | @HOU | 0.79 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 12.6 | @KC | 0.39 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 8.9 | CHI | 0.69 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 6.1 | @DAL | 0.27 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 9.8 | @CIN | 0.61 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 10.4 | CLE | 0.55 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 5.2 | @ATL | 0.39 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 10.9 | IND | 0.73 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 9.3 | @WAS | 0.55 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1 | 5.7 | NYJ | 0.61 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 7.0 | @LVR | 0.31 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 9.2 | RAM | 0.41 |
| Washington | 2 | 7.2 | NO | 0.45 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 10.4 | BUF | 0.61 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 7.1 | @TB | 0.19 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 4.3 | TEN | 0.36 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 7.7 | @BAL | 0.27 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 6.8 | @CAR | 0.38 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 6.7 | DEN | 0.54 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 11 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 8 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 12 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| Washington | 2 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 16 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 29 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 14 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Draft Results
